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RGTI Unusual Options: $23.75M Quantum Computing Bull Spread

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πŸš€ Rigetti Computing Options Alert: $24M Quantum Computing Bet - Someone Knows Something!

πŸ“… August 14, 2025 | πŸ”₯ Unusual Activity Detected | 🎯 Strategy: Complex Spread + LEAP Positioning


🎯 The Quick Take

BOOM! Institutions just dropped $24M in premium on Rigetti Computing options in a sophisticated bull spread strategy! With the stock at $17.69, they're loading up on $16 calls expiring THIS FRIDAY while selling $18 calls to cap gains. This isn't speculation - this is positioning for an imminent catalyst! πŸ€–

Translation for us regular folks: Smart money is betting BIG on a quick move to $18, likely tied to quantum computing breakthroughs or government funding news. When you see $24M deployed this precisely, pay attention! πŸ’Ž


πŸ“Š Options Tape Breakdown

πŸ‹ WHALE ALERT: Massive Quantum Computing Play!

πŸ“ˆ Trade Metrics Dashboard

Metric Value What It Means
Total Premium $23.75M Whale-sized positioning
Total Contracts 252,310 Massive volume surge
Spot Price $17.69 Current stock price
Strategy Bull Spread + LEAP Sophisticated positioning
Days to Expiry 2-9 days (mostly) URGENT catalyst expected
Execution MID/ASK Professional pricing

🎬 The Actual Trade Tape

πŸ• Time: 3:25-3:41 PM cluster
πŸ“Š Order Type: Block trades across strikes
🎯 Execution: MID and ASK prices

Time Side Type Strike Expiry Volume Open Interest Premium Spot Price Execution
15:25:57 🟒 BUY πŸ“ˆ CALL $16 2025-08-15 49,999 83,000 $8.9M $17.69 MID
15:25:57 🟒 BUY πŸ“ˆ CALL $18.5 2025-08-22 49,999 314 $3.3M $17.69 MID
15:26:05 🟒 BUY πŸ“ˆ CALL $16 2025-08-15 18,730 83,000 $3.2M $17.66 MID
15:25:57 πŸ”΄ SELL πŸ“ˆ CALL $18 2025-08-15 49,999 98,000 $2.1M $17.69 MID
15:25:57 πŸ”΄ SELL πŸ“‰ PUT $16 2025-08-22 49,999 810 $1.8M $17.69 MID
15:41:18 🟒 BUY πŸ“ˆ CALL $16.5 2025-08-15 15,156 53,000 $1.5M $17.23 MID
15:26:05 πŸ”΄ SELL πŸ“ˆ CALL $18.5 2025-08-22 18,730 314 $1.2M $17.66 MID
15:26:05 πŸ”΄ SELL πŸ“ˆ CALL $18 2025-08-15 18,730 98,000 $730K $17.66 MID
15:26:05 πŸ”΄ SELL πŸ“‰ PUT $16 2025-08-22 18,730 810 $693K $17.66 MID
15:25:48 🟒 BUY πŸ“ˆ CALL $16 2026-01-16 700 1,600 $326K $17.73 ASK

⚑ Strategy Detection: BULL SPREAD WITH INCOME GENERATION

What This Means in Plain English: - 🎯 BULL SPREAD: Long $16 calls, short $18 calls = max profit at $18 - πŸ’° PUT SALES: Selling $16 puts for extra income (bullish signal!) - πŸ“Š VOLUME EXPLOSION: 252K volume with concentrated strikes - ⏰ FRIDAY EXPIRY: August 15 = expecting news THIS WEEK! - πŸš€ LEAP BONUS: January 2026 calls show long-term conviction

Translation: This is a calculated bet on a move to $18 by Friday with downside protection. The put sales show confidence it won't drop below $16. Someone knows something BIG is coming! πŸ’Ž


🎯 What The Smart Money Knows

The Setup They're Playing:

Bull Spread Metrics:
- Entry: Long $16 calls
- Cap: Short $18 calls
- Max Profit: $2 per spread if above $18
- Breakeven: ~$17.73 (current price!)

Why NOW? The Quantum Catalyst Chain:

  1. πŸ€– 99.5% Fidelity Breakthrough
  2. Cepheus-1-36Q achieves industry-leading accuracy
  3. 2X error reduction from previous system

  4. πŸ’° Government Funding Imminent

  5. $2.7B National Quantum Initiative awaiting passage
  6. $500M annual funding expected

  7. 🎯 DARPA Selection

  8. Selected for Quantum Benchmarking Initiative
  9. $1M Phase A funding secured

  10. πŸ“Š Analyst Upgrades

  11. Benchmark raises PT to $20
  12. 6/6 analysts say BUY

πŸ’‘ How Different Traders Should Play This

🎰 YOLO Traders

"I want that Friday lottery ticket!" - Play: $19 Aug 15 calls - Cost: ~$0.20 per contract - Risk: -100% if below $19 - Reward: +1000% if hits $20 - Position Size: 0.5% of account (expires FRIDAY!)

πŸ„ Swing Traders

"I'll take the safer weekly play" - Play: $17/$19 call spread for Aug 22 - Cost: ~$0.70 per spread - Max Gain: $1.30 if above $19 - Position Size: 2-3% of account

πŸ’Ž Premium Collectors

"I'll sell puts like the whale" - Play: Sell $16 puts for Aug 22 - Collect: $0.37 premium - Risk: Own RGTI at $15.63 - Win If: Stock stays above $16

πŸ‘Ά Entry Level Investors

"Just shares with a stop" - Play: Buy 100 shares - Entry: $17.69 - Stop Loss: $16.50 (-6.7%) - Target: $20 (+13%)


⚠️ The Risks (Let's Keep It Real)

What Could Go Wrong: - πŸ“‰ Revenue Collapse: Down 41.6% YoY - not making money yet! - πŸ’Έ Dilution Risk: Just raised $350M diluting shareholders - πŸ€– Competition: Google's Willow chip ahead technically - ⏰ Timeline Risk: Quantum advantage still 4+ years away - πŸ“Š Valuation Bubble: Trading at 25x book value!


🎯 The Bottom Line

Real talk: When someone drops $24M on options expiring in 2 days, they're not guessing: 1. The $16/$18 bull spread is perfectly positioned for a catalyst 2. August 15 expiry (THIS FRIDAY) suggests imminent news 3. Put sales show confidence in $16 support 4. This screams government funding or partnership announcement

The quantum computing race is heating up, and smart money is positioning NOW!

πŸ“‹ Your Action Checklist

βœ… If Following: Consider Aug 22 calls for safer play, not Friday
βœ… Set Alerts: $16 (support), $18 (resistance), $20 (analyst target)
βœ… Mark Calendar: August 15 expiration (FRIDAY!)
βœ… Watch For: NQI funding news, DARPA updates, partnerships
βœ… Risk Management: This is a binary catalyst play - size small!


πŸ“Š Quick Reference Card

Metric Value Significance
Ticker RGTI Rigetti Computing
Strategy Bull Spread + Put Sales Catalyst positioning
Premium $23.75M Institutional conviction
Contracts 252,310 Massive volume
Key Strikes $16/$18 Spread parameters
Spot Price $17.69 Current stock price
Main Expiry 2025-08-15 2 days!
Execution MID/ASK Professional trades
Risk Level πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ (5/5) Maximum risk!

🏷️ Tags for This Trade

Time Horizon: #Weekly (2 days!)
Strategy Type: #BullSpread #CatalystPlay
Risk Level: #ExtremeRisk
Trader Types: #YOLO #SwingTrade


⚠️ Disclaimer: $24M in options with Friday expiry is EXTREME positioning. This is binary - either a catalyst hits or these expire worthless. Quantum computing stocks are speculative by nature. This could go to zero or moon. Size accordingly! This is education, not financial advice! 🎲

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